Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024271 0.029266 0.034511 0.040386 0.046743 0.053380 0.060799
2025-11-30 0.016693 0.023680 0.031574 0.040947 0.051596 0.063168 0.076552
2025-12-07 0.012300 0.020334 0.030014 0.042050 0.056211 0.072019 0.090706
2025-12-14 0.009665 0.018420 0.029580 0.043970 0.061349 0.081122 0.104846
2025-12-21 0.007254 0.016244 0.028406 0.044655 0.064755 0.088014 0.116278
2025-12-28 0.006513 0.016236 0.029894 0.048527 0.071888 0.099170 0.132551
2026-01-04 0.004318 0.013506 0.027403 0.047094 0.072371 0.102356 0.139461
2026-01-11 0.003219 0.012277 0.026809 0.047980 0.075604 0.108720 0.150008
2026-01-18 0.002240 0.010951 0.025898 0.048316 0.078052 0.114070 0.159303
2026-01-25 0.001490 0.009785 0.025073 0.048659 0.080429 0.119276 0.168380
2026-02-01 0.000856 0.008519 0.023923 0.048436 0.081997 0.123433 0.176156
2026-02-08 0.000264 0.006642 0.021472 0.046174 0.080763 0.124034 0.179575
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.005066 0.019336 0.044326 0.080143 0.125543 0.184322
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004450 0.018911 0.045024 0.082959 0.131402 0.194419
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004034 0.018817 0.046199 0.086410 0.138060 0.205499
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003886 0.019266 0.048218 0.091019 0.146190 0.218389
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003423 0.018927 0.048937 0.093800 0.151973 0.228382
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003820 0.020635 0.052994 0.101259 0.163766 0.245806
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002882 0.018984 0.051494 0.100887 0.165471 0.250744
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002574 0.018825 0.052421 0.103913 0.171541 0.261078
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002185 0.018348 0.052773 0.106098 0.176507 0.270029
2026-04-19 NaN 0.001840 0.017899 0.053132 0.108270 0.181442 0.278933
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001444 0.017142 0.052899 0.109555 0.185197 0.286346